26.09.2022
Chicago 12, Melborne City, USA
Scalping

Goldman Sachs thinks that Bitcoin could drop to 12,000 dollars!

Il calo della session odierna ha riportato il Bitcoin al di sotto dei 20,000 dollars. For many, this fall could lead to a more massive fall. According to the American bank Goldman Sachs, Bitcoin could even go down to one quote 12,000 dollars. Vediamo su cosa il colosso finanziario basa questa previsio.

La FED alzerà nuovamente i tassi

For a month now, the inflation and the response of the central banks are at the center of the attention of the cryptocurrency market. In the first line between these central banks is the FED, the true barometer of the cryptocurrency market. Per interruptere la spirale inflationistica, l’ente sta conducendo da diversi mesi una politica agressiva di rialzo dei tassi.

È proprio in relazione a un nuovo rialzo dei tassi che la banca americana has published this forecast, a dir poco pessimistica. While the markets predicted a further increase of 0.5% in September and 0.25% in November, it seems that the consensus has changed. Therefore, a settembre si poterde assistere a un aumento dello dello 0.75% del tasso di intereste di reférence, while a novembre l’aumento sabrebe dello 0.50%. And some warn already of a potential increase. This is in particular the case of the trader known with the pseudonym “Doctor Profit”.

“Tenete conto delle prossime decisioni della FED.” “Un rialzo dei tassi dello 0.75% è già scontato, l’1% e estimao videndo il sangue”.

In the space of a few months, the interest rate went from 0 to an interval between 2.25% and 2.50%. E l’ascesa non è finita. The current consensus is that 86% of economic agents expect an increase of 0.75% at the next FED meeting. The rest of the interviewees foresee an increase of one point base. La risposta arriverà wercoledì prossimo, in occasione della prossima meeting del FOMC (Federal Market Open Committee), che anuncerà l’entità dell’aumento.

Il Bitcoin e il mercato delle criptovalute restano correlati ai mercati azionari

Although this relationship was not evident at the time, now it is clear. When the FED intervenes, all the risk markets react in the same direction. Although the volatility is always more elevated in the cryptocurrency market, it is clear that the two markets are moving together. Per molti observatori, questa correlazione positiva, soprano con gli indicia più grandi como il NASDAQ Composite, representa un problema. In particolare because it deals with indices composed primarily of technological titles.

Sharon Bell, strategist of Goldman Sachs, maintains that the recent rally in the stock market could be a single race to the rise. The US bank has recently affirmed that the stock market could drop by 25% if the FED accelerates its rate hike policy. E con il senno di poi degli ultimi mesi, è difficile immaginare che caudata non sabrebe stata ancora più violente nel mercato degli digitali asseti.

These warnings from one of the most powerful banks in the world also coincide with an increase in short positions in Bitcoin. Mentre i privati ​​si divertono, anche gli investitori institutionali seguento questa tendenza. Come dimostra l’ultimo rapporto della Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

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